The potential for global unrest has significantly increased with Donald Trump’s possible return to the White House. Known for his volatile nature, blunt language, and reliance on the “madman theory” of foreign policy, Trump’s approach to global diplomacy could reshape the geopolitical landscape in unpredictable ways. His controversial positions on the COVID-19 pandemic, climate change, and immigration already suggest a challenging future. However, it is his approach to foreign relations, particularly in regions of ongoing conflict, that has the world on edge.
Trump’s return comes at a time when the U.S. is deeply involved in two significant regional wars: one in the Middle East and the other in Eastern Europe. His transactional approach and unorthodox methods of dealing with conflicts raise questions about the effectiveness of U.S. foreign policy in these volatile areas. His preference for “rapid resolution” of international disputes contrasts sharply with the more measured, diplomatic stance seen under the Biden administration.
In the Middle East, Trump’s influence on the Israel-Gaza conflict remains uncertain. His history of close ties with Israel and a preference for quick resolutions could lead to further escalation or perhaps an abrupt shift in policy. It remains to be seen how much pressure he might apply to halt violence in Gaza or whether his support for Israeli actions will continue unabated.
Similarly, Trump’s handling of the war in Ukraine remains a key concern. His past remarks suggest a more isolationist, transactional foreign policy, which may not align with the broader international community’s efforts to support Ukraine in the face of Russian aggression. His approach may drastically alter U.S. involvement in Ukraine, potentially pulling back support or shifting alliances.
Beyond the direct impact on ongoing conflicts, Trump’s unpredictable style could lead to further destabilization in global governance. His skepticism toward multilateralism and the rule-based international order makes cooperation on issues like climate change, human rights, and international trade much more challenging. The U.S. under Trump might prioritize short-term gains over long-term stability, leaving the world to contend with the consequences.
Trump’s diplomacy has always been about the art of the deal, focusing on tangible outcomes and transactional relationships rather than long-term alliances. This could lead to unforeseen consequences in international partnerships, where trust and predictability are essential. With his return, global leaders are bracing for a diplomatic shift that might either yield swift results or ignite larger-scale conflicts.
The world now faces a dilemma: while Trump’s aggressive, deal-driven style may promise faster resolutions, it also risks stoking the flames of conflict, undermining international cooperation, and reshaping the global balance of power in ways that are hard to predict.
